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"Doubts, Inequality, and Bubbles" by Professor Kenneth Kasa

Publishing Date: 10/04/2018      (Last Update: 10/04/2018)

 

Economics Seminar

Author:

  • Kenneth Kasa
    Simon Frazer University

Event Details

DateWednesday, 18 April 2018
Time4:30pm - 6pm
VenueKK910

Two agents trade an indivisible asset. They are risk neutral and share a common benchmark dividend model. However, each has doubts about the specification of this model. These doubts manifest themselves as a preference for robustness (Hansen and Sargent (2008)). Robust preferences introduce pessimistic drift distortions into the benchmark dividend process. These distortions increase with the level of wealth, and give rise to endogenous heterogeneous beliefs. Belief heterogeneity allows asset price bubbles to emerge, as in Scheinkman and Xiong (2003). A novel implication of our analysis is that bubbles occur when wealth inequality increases. Empirical evidence supports this prediction. Detection error probabilities suggest that the implied degree of belief heterogeneity is empirically plausible.