擲毫做決定 使人生更精彩
楊岳橋有句「金句」:「乜乜使人生更精彩。」香港這兩年經歷社會動盪,人心浮沉,一連串改變使一些人對未來更樂觀更確定更有信心,另一些人則可能要面對人生重大決定,或已坐言起行,或仍猶豫不決。近來在經濟學的頂級期刊有一篇論文,可能可以給予我們一些智慧。
Before joining the HKU Business School, Dr. Vera YUEN held teaching positions at the School of Communication of Hong Kong Baptist University, and at the School of Humanities and Social Science of HKUST. She was Consultant to Our Hong Kong Foundation in 2015 on its housing and land project.
Vera is eager to serve the community. She was appointed a member of the Panel of Film Censorship Adviser of the Office for Film, Newspaper and Article Administration, and is now a member of the Appeal Panel (Housing), Sir Jack Cater Scholarship Fund Selection Committee, and the Radio Television Hong Kong (RTHK) Programme Advisory Panel.
She is a current affairs commentator and columnist in major newspapers and media. As a regular host of an academic talk show in RTHK, she provides academic insights into social issues for the public. Joining hands with NGOs, she engages herself in youth education and policy education.
Peer-reviewed publications
Other publications
楊岳橋有句「金句」:「乜乜使人生更精彩。」香港這兩年經歷社會動盪,人心浮沉,一連串改變使一些人對未來更樂觀更確定更有信心,另一些人則可能要面對人生重大決定,或已坐言起行,或仍猶豫不決。近來在經濟學的頂級期刊有一篇論文,可能可以給予我們一些智慧。
財政司長陳茂波在今年的《財政預算案》提出發放消費券,向每名合資格的18歲或以上香港永久居民及新來港人士,分5個月每月1000元,發放5000元的電子消費券,目的是鼓勵及帶動本地消費,預計措施可惠及720萬人。
周三(24日)香港財政司司長陳茂波公布《財政預算案》,預算2020/21年度赤字為2576億港元(約332億美元)。去年陳預計今年度赤字約1,391億港元(約180億美元),數字上升一倍,比去年預測惡化。學者阮穎嫻認為香港財政仍豐厚,但經濟學者羅家聰就為赤字擔憂,未來難免加稅。
新一份財政預算案提及,將會向18歲或以上的香港永久性居民或新來港人士,分期派發5000元電子消費券。戴德梁行執行董事、香港商舖部主管林應威則指,電子消費券的方案為市場及商戶帶來正面的氣氛,期望能刺激消費。實際惠及的行業需視乎政策的細節及執行。建議政府可考慮以電子消費方式 ,將每人5, 000元消費券設每日消費限額,以能用於日常所需,並籍此惠及中小微企商戶。
新一年《財政預算案》快將公布。過去一年,香港受疫情打擊,經濟大幅下滑,衰退為幾十年來最差。可幸的是,香港的財政儲備仍然充裕,比起全球很多要舉債度日的國家仍然擁有優勢。以往財政司面對的困難總是錢太多,要把錢左塞右塞,左派右派,使財政盈餘看起來不至那麼多。今次終於遇上巨大經濟危機,是財政司長的「考牌作」,各大團體及政黨紛紛提出不同建議,且看財政司長如何體現他的價值。
因為疫情,海洋公園財困,不得已攤大手板問市民攞錢。管理層想了又想,推出新計劃希望扭轉乾坤。大家關心海洋公園,部分因為是關心海洋公園董事局主席劉鳴煒先生,關心他還有什麼板斧,大概他已經可以取代威威司令,成為海洋公園的吉祥物。
每逢有大事發生,學術界都會趕着發表論文。首先,學者希望對世界有貢獻,做大家關注的題目,幫助改善社會。更重要的是,新的題材無人寫過,大家又有需求,寫出文來好像會有更多人引用。早於2020年4月,我已經見過一篇關於肺炎與經濟的學術期刊文章,當中用了一個民調,民調的日期和投稿日期只相隔7天,一個多月後已過了評審及修改完畢,滾水淥腳地被學術期刊接受了。那時候,資料還不全,有些國家疫情才剛爆發。具創見的理論貴精不貴多,學術評審及修改過程隨時要上一年半載才被接納刊登,但編輯為了期刊的人氣,有時還是會快出。
很多國家在經濟發展初期,因為和世界科技前沿距離太遠,少不免由最低技術的生產做起,當中包括大量的模仿和技術轉移。這種模式的經濟發展可藉資本累積而達到,即所謂投資帶動的增長(investment-led growth)。
《施政報告》剛公布,接下來《財政預算案》又排着隊要出爐了。因為疫情,上兩個星期跟一班經濟學者,和財經事務及庫務局長許正宇視像會議,討論艱難時候特區政府應如何制定預算。當天討論的其中兩個重點,是疫情下的援助及稅收問題。
記者喜歡訪問學者,查詢他們對時事問題的專業意見。學者評論有時也會影響社會大眾的看法,甚至可以影響政策。雖然經濟學家和社會科學家討論社會議題經驗較多,但往往聽到他們抱怨媒體不能好好傳遞他們的見解,或者公眾對他們的意見產生了誤解,也時常聽到公眾說象牙塔的專家意見離地,說話模稜兩可。
由Wonder Girls、少女時代,到Blackpink、BTS(防彈少年團),韓國歌唱偶像團體(韓團)近年風靡萬千觀眾,同一方程式不斷複製並獲得成功。由韓國練習生選拔制度開始,未出道的歌手要接受嚴格訓練,一日練舞10多小時,長不夠漂亮就去整容,等訓練三五七年,就有機會組團出道。嚴格訓練加上公司的華麗包裝,以雄厚財力推出洗腦舞曲,韓團的表現整齊、有技巧、風格盡現,令人目不暇給。着重視覺表演的韓團,在網絡串流年代佔盡優勢。
新冠肺炎疫情之下,很多國家從今年第一或第二季開始,實施社交距離限制,大眾在家工作上學,減少外出消費,這些措施對實體經濟影響很大,很多人面臨失業。不少發達國家的GDP都錄得按季10%左右的跌幅。
Dr. Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics, expressed her views on the use of social media in social movements.
Dr. Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics, expressed her views on immigration.
Dr. Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics, gives her opinions why branches of VanGO convenience store stop selling Apple Daily newspaper
Dr. Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics, gives her opinions on the dilemma that whether pro-democracy lawmakers should stay or boycott the Legislative Council during the one-year extension.
Dr. Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics, shares that maintaining good relationship with customers is a better way to improve business than offering discount.
Dr. Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics, shares her views on the relationship between interest rates and economic growth.
Dr. Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics, expressed her views of risk aversion on US presidential election.
Opinion piece by Dr. Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics, expressed her views of U.S. dollar forecasts.
Opinion piece by Dr. Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics
Dr. Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics, expressed her views on the operation of Ocean Park.
Dr. Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics, expressed her views on judiciary independence of Hong Kong.
Dr. Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics, expressed her views on Yellow Economic Circle.
Dr. Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics, expressed her opinion to the 2020 - 2021 Budget
Dr. Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics, expressed her opinion on the business strategy during coronavirus epidemic
Article co-authored by Miss Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics, HKU and Mr. Paul Luk, Assistant Professor of Economics, HKBU
Opinion piece by Miss Vera Wing-han Yuen, Assistant Lecturer in Economics